This year’s respiratory disease season started off relatively slow, offering a brief sense of relief, but experts are sounding the alarm as the flu, COVID-19, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are beginning to surge. While the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) predicts that this season could be similar to or even better than previous years, the potential for a higher-than-normal hospitalization rate looms large. This is particularly true as vaccination rates remain stubbornly low, which threatens to make this year’s respiratory disease season more severe than anticipated.
The Impact of Low Vaccination Rates on Children’s Health
Vaccination is key to preventing severe illness and hospitalizations during flu and RSV outbreaks. However, current vaccination rates are troubling. Less than 20% of adults and only about 8% of children have received the updated COVID-19 vaccine, a figure nearly identical to last year’s numbers. Similarly, flu vaccination rates are also lagging behind, with only 37% of adults and 33% of children having received their flu shots by mid-November. This is particularly concerning given that flu vaccination rates among children are the lowest they’ve been in the past six years, putting them at greater risk for complications, especially in light of rising hospitalizations.
Pediatric nurse practitioner Elizabeth Choma underscores that while vaccines don’t guarantee that children won’t get sick, they can significantly reduce the severity of illness, which can be life-saving. Studies show that most pediatric deaths from flu occur in unvaccinated children. For children, particularly those under 5, respiratory diseases like flu, RSV, and pneumonia can cause severe breathing issues and dehydration, making vaccination even more critical.
RSV and Other Respiratory Threats: Rising Hospitalizations and Strain on Healthcare
One of the most concerning trends this season is the rapid rise in RSV cases, which primarily affect infants and young children. The CDC reports a sharp increase in RSV hospitalizations, particularly among children under 5. As of late November, there were twice as many RSV-related hospitalizations compared to the previous month, and the situation is expected to worsen as the season progresses. While RSV is typically mild in adults, its effects on young children can be severe, causing significant respiratory distress.
Meanwhile, walking pneumonia, caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae, is spreading rapidly among children, placing additional pressure on pediatric hospitals. Cases of walking pneumonia were already rising globally in 2023, and surveillance data from the U.S. shows that hospital visits for this condition peaked in August and have remained elevated, especially among children aged 2 to 4. This unusual trend has led to significant strain on children’s hospitals, many of which are already at or near capacity as they face increasing numbers of respiratory-related admissions.
Anticipated Surge: Hospitals Prepare for the Worst
Hospitals are preparing for an escalation in respiratory-related hospitalizations as the winter months approach. Dr. Torey Mack, chief medical officer for the Children’s Hospital Association, warns that emergency departments are already feeling the strain, with some facilities seeing significant increases in RSV and pneumonia cases. Cook Children’s Medical Center in Fort Worth, Texas, for example, is nearing capacity, and experts worry this trend will only worsen as the holidays approach, with gatherings potentially contributing to the spread of respiratory viruses.
Dr. David Marcello, chief of pediatric hospital medicine at Children’s Hospital of Richmond, predicts that the ongoing surge in pneumonia cases could be compounded by rising pollen and mold levels, colder weather keeping people indoors, and the holiday season bringing more families together. The added strain on hospital systems could further delay care and challenge healthcare workers as they deal with the unprecedented volume of cases.
A Critical Time for Vaccination and Preparedness
With respiratory disease season well underway, public health experts stress the importance of vaccination and preparedness. As Dr. Andy Pekosz, a virologist at Johns Hopkins University, points out, historical trends show that respiratory disease cases tend to rise after Thanksgiving, giving healthcare providers a clearer picture of the season’s trajectory. The CDC continues to emphasize the critical role vaccines play in preventing severe illness, particularly for vulnerable populations like children, the elderly, and those with underlying health conditions. With the rapid spread of RSV and other respiratory illnesses, getting vaccinated could be the most important step in protecting both children and the healthcare system during this challenging season.
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